Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Gyeongju are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Suwon FMC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
12.8%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40