GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 4/14/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gyeongju · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Gyeongju are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Changnyeong are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the WK-League, while Gyeongju holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gyeongju

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

Gyeongju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GyeongjuDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ChangnyeongWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
GyeongjuChangnyeong
50.0Attack31.7
60.0Defence26.7
48.3Form21.7
53.4Power29.6
2.52xG0.65
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