GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gyeongju HNP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yangpyeong are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju HNP hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyeongju HNPLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
YangpyeongDDWDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gyeongju HNPYangpyeong
33.3Attack36.7
61.9Defence50.0
40.5Form41.1
47.2Power44.2
1.07xG0.76
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