GGOALVIO

Gyeongju HNP logoGyeongju HNPvsUlsan Citizen logoUlsan Citizen

COMPLETED

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gyeongju HNP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulsan Citizen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju HNP hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyeongju HNPLWLDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ulsan CitizenLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gyeongju HNPUlsan Citizen
33.3Attack33.3
61.9Defence52.2
40.5Form37.8
47.2Power43.5
1.03xG0.69
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