K3 LeagueK3 League
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Gyeongju HNP

Gyeongju HNP

Home
L
10
Full time
Siheung Citizen

Siheung Citizen

Away
WD
Gyeongju Civic Stadium
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Gyeongju HNP(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Gyeongju HNP
36%
Draw
30%
Siheung Citizen
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gyeongju HNP
9
Siheung Citizen
34
Defence
Gyeongju HNP
1
Siheung Citizen
82
Momentum
Gyeongju HNP
0
Siheung Citizen
67
Danger (xG)
Gyeongju HNP
0.00
Siheung Citizen
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gyeongju HNP)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Siheung Citizen)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Gyeongju HNP)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Siheung Citizen)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP
L
Siheung CitizenSiheung Citizen
WD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Gyeongju HNP36%
Draw30%
Siheung Citizen34%

Gyeongju HNP leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Gyeongju HNP head into this in K3 League fixture at Gyeongju Civic Stadium in mixed form (L), while Siheung Citizen arrive in mixed form (WD). Gyeongju HNP have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Siheung Citizen over 2 games.

Tactically, Siheung Citizen hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Gyeongju HNP defence (1/100), while Gyeongju HNP's attack faces a watertight Siheung Citizen backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Gyeongju HNP have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Siheung Citizen have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Gyeongju HNP and Siheung Citizen in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Gyeongju HNP to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Gyeongju HNP 3628%, Draw 2991%, Siheung Citizen 3381%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Gyeongju HNP

Gyeongju HNP

L
@ Cheongju
15 Jul 2026
04
Siheung Citizen

Siheung Citizen

W
@ Daegu FC
15 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Jincheon
4 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts Gyeongju HNP to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more