Gyeongju HNPvs
Mokpo City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju HNP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Mokpo City
Original prediction
Gyeongju HNP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.6% | 61.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 22.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.3% | 16.5% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju HNP
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Gyeongju HNP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00