GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gyeongju HNP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gyeongju HNPLDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dangjin CitizenLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gyeongju HNPDangjin Citizen
33.3Attack61.4
61.9Defence52.6
40.5Form49.1
47.2Power54.6
0.99xG1.31
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