Gyeongju HNPvs
Changwon City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju HNP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Changwon City
Original prediction
Gyeongju HNP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 46.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 27.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.6% | 26.2% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju HNP
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Gyeongju HNP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80