Gwelup CroatiavsMurdoch Melville

Gwelup Croatia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gwelup Croatia hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Gwelup Croatia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.