K League 1K League 1
Saturday, 11 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC

Home
LD
03
Full time
Pohang Steelers

Pohang Steelers

Away
W
Gwangju Football Stadium
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Pohang Steelers(34%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Pohang Steelers
Win probability
Gwangju FC
39%
Draw
27%
Pohang Steelers
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gwangju FC
18
Pohang Steelers
94
Defence
Gwangju FC
27
Pohang Steelers
91
Momentum
Gwangju FC
17
Pohang Steelers
100
Danger (xG)
Gwangju FC
0.45
Pohang Steelers
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gwangju FC)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Pohang Steelers)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Gwangju FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Pohang Steelers)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
LDLL
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
WLW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Gwangju FC39%
Draw27%
Pohang Steelers34%

Gwangju FC leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gwangju FC head into this in K League 1 fixture at Gwangju Football Stadium in mixed form (LD), while Pohang Steelers arrive in mixed form (W). Gwangju FC have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Pohang Steelers over 1 games.

Tactically, Pohang Steelers hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Gwangju FC defence (27/100), while Gwangju FC's attack faces a watertight Pohang Steelers backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Gwangju FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match. Pohang Steelers have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

Pohang Steelers have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Pohang Steelers to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Gwangju FC 3914%, Draw 2715%, Pohang Steelers 3371%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Gwangju FC 0Draws 01 Pohang Steelers
Avg goals: 3.0
11 Jul 2026
Gwangju FC
L03
Pohang Steelers

Recent form

Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC

L
vs Pohang Steelers
11 Jul 2026
03
D
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
5 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Incheon United
16 May 2026
04
L
vs FC Seoul
12 May 2026
01
Pohang Steelers

Pohang Steelers

W
@ Gwangju FC
11 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Bucheon FC 1995
17 May 2026
02
W
@ Incheon United
12 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

GoalVio's model predicts Pohang Steelers to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more