Gwangju FCvs
Jeju United FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jeju United FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gwangju FC 0-1 Jeju United FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gwangju FC 0-1 Jeju United FC
Original prediction
Jeju United FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 23.5% | 13.6% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.3% | 23.2% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 49.2% | 63.2% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Projected Score
Gwangju FC 0–1 Jeju United FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Jeju United FC
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Jeju United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00