Gwangju FCvs
FC Seoul
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Gwangju FC 0-2 FC Seoul, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gwangju FC 2-5 FC Seoul
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.24 | 14.9% | 5.9% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.9% | 13.2% | -8.8 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 63.2% | 80.9% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Projected Score
Gwangju FC 0–2 FC Seoul
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gwangju FCDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SeoulWWWDD
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gwangju FCFC Seoul
18.7Attack62.7
30.7Defence74.7
16.0Form70.7
25.2Power68.8
0.36xG2.69