Gwangju FCvs
FC Anyang
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Anyang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gwangju FC 1-1 FC Anyang
Original prediction
FC Anyang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 27.2% | 19.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.8% | 23.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.1% | 56.7% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
FC Anyang
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
FC Anyang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00