Gévoravs
Llerenense
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gévora 0-0 Llerenense, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gévora 1-2 Llerenense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.0% | 35.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 31.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.4% | 32.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Gévora 0–0 Llerenense
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GévoraDLLD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.50
BTTS 4/4O2.5 2/4
LlerenenseDWWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GévoraLlerenense
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
0.90xG0.77