Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guyana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guyana 8-1 Dominica
Original prediction
Guyana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 86.2% | 67.3% | -18.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.62 | 9.5% | 17.9% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 21.31 | 4.3% | 14.8% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Guyana
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Guyana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GuyanaWWWWW
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DominicaLLDWD
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GuyanaDominica
88.9Attack11.1
88.9Defence22.2
100.0Form11.1
92.0Power19.5
2.86xG0.97