Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Gute are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Uppsala are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 18.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 22 · avg 1.20/4.40