Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stocksund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gute are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Stocksund are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stocksund hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Svenska Cupen, while Stocksund holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stocksund
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Stocksund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80