Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gute are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60