Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gute 1-2 Skiljebo
Original prediction
Skiljebo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 20.1% | 20.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.3% | 21.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 59.6% | 59.0% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GuteWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SkiljeboWWWWD
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GuteSkiljebo
49.3Attack78.3
52.2Defence65.2
46.4Form76.8
50.1Power73.7
1.05xG2.26