Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gute are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lidingö are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
11.6%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80