Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Gute are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Korsnäs are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20