Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gute are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Karlberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60