Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gute are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Järfälla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80