Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gute are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arlanda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20