GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guria · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Guria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (75.8 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guria

Probability

90.8%

Model confidence

16.0%

Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuriaWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Margveti 2006LWWDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GuriaMargveti 2006
92.2Attack33.3
78.4Defence37.3
70.6Form35.3
75.8Power37.6
3.70xG0.45
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