Guriavs
Margveti 2006
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guria · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Guria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (75.8 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guria
Probability
90.8%
Model confidence
16.0%
Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80