GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/7/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Guria are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (75.8 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.2% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guria

Probability

85.2%

Model confidence

85.2%

Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuriaLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Lokomotivi Tbilisi IIL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GuriaLokomotivi Tbilisi II
92.2Attack52.9
78.4Defence35.6
70.6Form46.0
75.8Power45.7
3.71xG0.74
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