David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani Cup
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Guria

Guria

Home
L
10
Full time
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Guria(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Guria
40%
Draw
25%
Dinamo Tbilisi
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Guria
9
Dinamo Tbilisi
54
Defence
Guria
66
Dinamo Tbilisi
66
Momentum
Guria
0
Dinamo Tbilisi
67
Danger (xG)
Guria
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Guria)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Dinamo Tbilisi)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Guria)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Dinamo Tbilisi)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GuriaGuria
L
Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi
DWDLW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Guria40%
Draw25%
Dinamo Tbilisi35%

Guria leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Guria head into this in David Kipiani Cup fixture in mixed form (L), while Dinamo Tbilisi arrive in mixed form (DW). Guria have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Dinamo Tbilisi over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Guria (66/100) and Dinamo Tbilisi (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Guria have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Dinamo Tbilisi have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Guria and Dinamo Tbilisi in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Guria to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Guria 4024%, Draw 2470%, Dinamo Tbilisi 3506%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Guria

Guria

L
@ WIT Georgia
15 May 2026
01
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi

D
vs US Mondorf-les-bains
16 Jul 2026
11
W
@ US Mondorf-les-bains
9 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Dila
1 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Saburtalo
27 Jun 2026
01
W
vs Saburtalo
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

GoalVio's model predicts Guria to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more