Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guria · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Guria are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Betlemi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (75.8 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guria
Probability
95.1%
Model confidence
18.9%
Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20