GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 4/23/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gungahlin United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Gungahlin United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Canberra Olympic are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gungahlin United hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Gungahlin United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gungahlin United

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Gungahlin United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gungahlin UnitedLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Canberra OlympicWW

GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 3.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Gungahlin UnitedCanberra Olympic
88.4Attack68.5
29.0Defence7.4
52.2Form31.5
55.1Power36.7
4.50xG2.67
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