GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gundelfingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gundelfingen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heimstetten are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gundelfingen hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Gundelfingen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gundelfingen

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Gundelfingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GundelfingenWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HeimstettenWDWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
GundelfingenHeimstetten
53.3Attack53.3
60.0Defence53.3
53.3Form46.7
56.7Power53.0
1.68xG1.30
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