Gulf Unitedvs
Emirates Club
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emirates Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gulf United 1-7 Emirates Club
Original prediction
Emirates Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 34.6% | 33.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.0% | 25.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.4% | 41.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Emirates Club
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Emirates Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20