Gulf Unitedvs
Al Thaid
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/4/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Thaid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gulf United 2-3 Al Thaid
Original prediction
Al Thaid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.7% | 33.5% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 26.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.4% | 40.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al Thaid
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Al Thaid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20