Gulf Unitedvs
Al Jazira Al Hamra
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/18/2026, 2:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gulf United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gulf United 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra
Original prediction
Gulf United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 50.8% | 52.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.5% | 23.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 25.7% | 24.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Gulf United
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Gulf United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20