Guizhou Zhuchengvs
Xi'an Ronghai
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guizhou Zhucheng 0-0 Xi'an Ronghai, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guizhou Zhucheng 1-0 Xi'an Ronghai
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.2% | 36.9% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.5% | 33.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.3% | 30.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Guizhou Zhucheng 0–0 Xi'an Ronghai
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guizhou ZhuchengLDWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Xi'an RonghaiWWDWL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guizhou ZhuchengXi'an Ronghai
44.4Attack40.7
71.6Defence76.5
56.8Form61.7
58.1Power61.3
0.68xG0.64