Guizhou Zhuchengvs
Shanghai Port II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guizhou Zhucheng 0-0 Shanghai Port II, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guizhou Zhucheng 2-1 Shanghai Port II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.5% | 36.4% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 32.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.6% | 31.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Guizhou Zhucheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guizhou ZhuchengLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai Port IIWWWLL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guizhou ZhuchengShanghai Port II
44.4Attack54.2
73.6Defence73.6
58.3Form63.9
59.0Power64.2
0.74xG0.79