Guizhou Zhuchengvs
Dalian Kewei
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guizhou Zhucheng 0-0 Dalian Kewei, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guizhou Zhucheng 0-1 Dalian Kewei
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 38.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.9% | 33.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Guizhou Zhucheng 0–0 Dalian Kewei
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guizhou ZhuchengDDLWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiLWDDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guizhou ZhuchengDalian Kewei
48.5Attack33.3
74.2Defence78.8
63.6Form56.1
62.3Power58.4
0.77xG0.46