GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guiseley AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guiseley AFC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Whitby Town are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Guiseley AFC hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Guiseley AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guiseley AFC

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Guiseley AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guiseley AFCDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Whitby TownWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Guiseley AFCWhitby Town
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power47.8
1.58xG1.13
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