GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guiseley AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guiseley AFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guiseley AFC hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Guiseley AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guiseley AFC

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

12.6%

Guiseley AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guiseley AFCWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lancaster CityWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guiseley AFCLancaster City
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power42.7
1.70xG1.11
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