Guiseley AFCvs
Lancaster City
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guiseley AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Guiseley AFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guiseley AFC hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Guiseley AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guiseley AFC
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
12.6%
Guiseley AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40