Guiseley AFCvs
Cleethorpes Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cleethorpes Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
Original prediction
Cleethorpes Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.5% | 33.9% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 23.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.0% | 42.6% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Cleethorpes Town
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Cleethorpes Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60