Guingampvs
RED Star FC 93
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guingamp · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93
Original prediction
Guingamp
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.4% | 38.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 33.1% | 33.2% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Guingamp
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Guingamp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20