Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guingamp · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Guingamp are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dunkerque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guingamp hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Ligue 2, while Guingamp holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guingamp
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Guingamp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00