GGOALVIO

France · National 2 - Group C · 9/2/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lorient II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guingamp II are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lorient II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lorient II hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the National 2 - Group C, while Lorient II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lorient II

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Lorient II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guingamp IILD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Lorient IIL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Guingamp IILorient II
35.9Attack46.2
35.9Defence51.3
25.6Form41.0
34.8Power48.4
1.08xG1.68
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