Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 202613:00Updated today
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Home
LL
vs
13:00
União de Leiria

União de Leiria

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

União de Leiria33%
Guimaraes33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Guimaraes
33%
Draw
33%
União de Leiria
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Guimaraes
9
União de Leiria
73
Defence
Guimaraes
46
União de Leiria
91
Momentum
Guimaraes
0
União de Leiria
100
Danger (xG)
Guimaraes
0.00
União de Leiria
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Guimaraes)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (União de Leiria)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Guimaraes)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (União de Leiria)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GuimaraesGuimaraes
LL
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
WD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Guimaraes33%
Draw33%
União de Leiria33%

União de Leiria leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Guimaraes head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (LL), while União de Leiria arrive in mixed form (W). Guimaraes have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for União de Leiria over 1 games.

Tactically, União de Leiria hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a average Guimaraes defence (46/100), while Guimaraes's attack faces a watertight União de Leiria backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Guimaraes have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. União de Leiria have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Guimaraes and União de Leiria in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Guimaraes 3333%, Draw 3333%, União de Leiria 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

L
@ Nacional
16 May 2026
02
L
vs Casa Pia
11 May 2026
01
União de Leiria

União de Leiria

W
vs AD Marco 09
15 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Feirense
17 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more