GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guilsfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Guilsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Penrhyncoch are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Guilsfield hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring Guilsfield with 9.6% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guilsfield

Probability

63.5%

Model confidence

9.6%

Guilsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuilsfieldWDWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PenrhyncochLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GuilsfieldPenrhyncoch
66.7Attack16.7
50.0Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power11.2
2.55xG1.24
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