Guillermo Brownvs
San Martín Mendoza
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guillermo Brown 0-0 San Martín Mendoza, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guillermo Brown 1-1 San Martín Mendoza
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 32.8% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.9% | 38.0% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.0% | 29.2% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Guillermo Brown 0–0 San Martín Mendoza
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guillermo BrownWWLWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martín MendozaLDWWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guillermo BrownSan Martín Mendoza
27.3Attack25.8
62.1Defence69.7
39.4Form45.5
45.1Power49.5
0.53xG0.55