Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Águilas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manchego have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Águilas hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00