Águilas Doradasvs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Águilas Doradas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 71.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20