GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Águilas Doradas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 71.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águilas DoradasLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
33.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power94.8
0.96xG1.49
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