GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rionegro Aguilas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Once Caldas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rionegro AguilasLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Once CaldasWDDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Rionegro AguilasOnce Caldas
38.1Attack54.7
57.1Defence60.0
50.8Form52.0
51.6Power56.7
0.97xG1.30
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