Águilavs
Once Municipal
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/27/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Águila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Once Municipal are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Municipal hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Primera Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33