GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/27/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Águila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Once Municipal are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Municipal hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Primera Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ÁguilaLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Once MunicipalWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ÁguilaOnce Municipal
33.3Attack35.5
58.3Defence58.7
25.0Form42.8
42.1Power47.9
1.06xG0.88
View match centre →