Águilavs
Isidro Metapán
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Águila 0-0 Isidro Metapán, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Águila 3-0 Isidro Metapán
Original prediction
Isidro Metapán
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.9% | 29.3% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 28.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 42.1% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Projected Score
Águila 0–0 Isidro Metapán
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Isidro Metapán
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80